The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a disturbance for possible tropical cyclone development well southeast of the U.S. southeast coast. While the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins June 1, sometimes storms do form in the off-season. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) monitors the tropics around the clock, around the year.

According to the NHC, a trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles to the northeast of the central Bahamas. An area of low pressure is expected to form within this system roughly halfway between Bermuda and Hispaniola later today. Although environmental conditions are not conducive, some slight subtropical or tropical development is possible over the next couple of days while the system moves northeastward.

While there is a risk of development, that risk is relatively low at this time. The NHC says there’s only a 10% chance of development over the next 48 hours and those odds remain the same over the next 7 days.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, there are no other areas of disturbed weather being monitored for development. Beyond the low-risk system, the NHC expects no tropical or subtropical cyclone formation in the Atlantic over the next 7 days.