The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of disturbed weather in the central Atlantic Ocean that appears to be developing. While it’s late in the Atlantic Hurricane Season, it doesn’t officially end until November 30.
According to the National Hurricane Center, a broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and winds of 30 to 35 mph on its northeastern side. Some gradual development of this system is expected, and the National Hurricane Center believes a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic.
While a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form, conditions in the extended range should become hostile to it. In a couple of days, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek. Because of that, the National Hurricane Center doesn’t expect any further development from that point on nor do they expect any direct impacts with land in North America.
Based on the latest Tropical Outlook issued this afternoon, the National Hurricane Center believes there’s a 50-50 chance that a system will form here over the next 48 hours.