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Eruption Possible, Prompting USGS To Raise Volcano Alert Level in Hawaii at Kilauea: ORANGE/WATCH

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - August 24, 2021

The initial eruption and gas/ash cloud is captured from Kilauea. Image: Hawaii Volcanoes National Park
In December, an eruption occured at Kilauea; scientists believe the same may be possible. The initial eruption and gas/ash cloud is captured from Kilauea. Image: Hawaii Volcanoes National Park




After sharing an alert about an earthquake swarm at the volcano earlier today , USGS scientists with  the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO) has decided  to elevate the alert / code level at Kilauea Volcano on Hawaii’s Big Island to ORANGE / WATCH. The HVO is observing a noteworthy earthquake swarm at the summit of the Kilauea Volcano on the Big Island of Hawaii. While the volcano isn’t erupting at this moment, that could change in the days ahead.

Kilauea last erupted in December after a long pause that followed the 2018 Lower East Rift Zone Eruption period. That eruption period ended in May, with no lava leaving the main caldera at the summit.

Scientists believe fresh activity with Kilauea will remain inside Hawaii Volcanoes National Park and not move into private property like it did in 2018. However, HVO / USGS scientists will continue to monitor the situation closely so residents and visitors to Kilauea and beyond are kept safe from the increasing seismic activity there.


USGS equipment detected an increase in earthquake activity beneath the south part of Kīlauea summit caldera, within Hawaiʻi Volcanoes National Park, within the last 24 hours. The activity began around 4:30 pm HT  on August 23 and continued through the night and into the early morning of August 24, 2021. At about 1:30 am this morning, the swarm of earthquakes intensified in this region and was accompanied by an increase in the rate of ground deformation recorded by the Sandhill tiltmeter, just to the west of the earthquake swarm location. “These observations may indicate a small dike intrusion of magma occurring 0.6-1.2 miles  beneath the south caldera,” HVO said in an update this morning. “Over 100 earthquakes have been recorded as of 2:30 am on August 24; the largest recorded earthquake was magnitude 3.3 with the majority of earthquakes less than magnitude 1. Small earthquakes are continuing at a rate of at least 10 detected earthquakes per hour. Currently, webcams show no evidence of lava at the surface.”  HVO added that their scientists will continue to monitor the situation and will issue additional messages and alert level changes as warranted by changing activity.




HVO is responsible for issuing Aviation Codes and Volcanic Activity Alert Levels. Aviation Codes are green, yellow, orange, or red. When ground-based instrumentation is insufficient to establish that a volcano is at a typical background level of activity, it is simply “unassigned.” While green means typical activity associated with a non-eruptive state, yellow means a volcano is exhibiting signs of elevated unrest above known background levels. When a volcano exhibits heightened or escalating unrest with the increased potential of eruption, it jumps to orange. Finally, when an eruption is imminent with significant emission of volcanic ash expected in the atmosphere or an eruption is underway with significant emission of volcanic ash into the atmosphere, the code becomes red. Volcanic Activity Alert levels are normal, advisory, watch, or warning. As with aviation codes, if data is insufficient, it is simply labeled as “unassigned.” When the volcano is at typical background activity in a non-eruptive state, it is considered normal. If the volcano exhibits signs of elevated unrest above background level, an advisory is issued. If a volcano exhibits heightened or escalating unrest, a watch is issued while a warning is issued when a hazardous eruption is imminent.

With this activity at Kilauea, HVO has set the volcano to a ORANGFE aviation code and a WATCH volcanic activity alert level. Nearby Mauna Loa, considered to be the world’s largest active volcano is at YELLOW / ADVISORY.

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