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Increasing Odds of Tropical Development

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - October 17, 2016

Current satellite image of the Caribbean. 10/17/16 2pm
Current satellite image of the Caribbean. 10/17/16 2pm

The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor an area of disturbed weather near the Bahamas off the southeastern US coast; they have upped the odds of a tropical cyclone forming here over the next 5 days to 60%.

A large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers located over the southeastern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos, and adjacent western Atlantic waters is associated with a broad surface low. Upper-level winds are expected to remains unfavorable for significant development during the next day or two, but they could become more conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation by Wednesday when the system begins to drift northward or north-northwestward.

Locally heavy rainfall over the southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos should diminish by tonight.

More information on any tropical cyclone near the United States in the Atlantic or Pacific Basins can be found on our tropical weather page here: https://weatherboy.com/hurricanes-tropical-weather/

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