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National Hurricane Center: 80% Chance of Tropical Cyclone Formation in Atlantic

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - October 18, 2023

The area marked by the red X has an 80% chance of tropical cyclone formation this week. Image: NHC
The area marked by the red X has an 80% chance of tropical cyclone formation this week. Image: NHC

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) says there’s an 80% chance that a new tropical cyclone will form in the Atlantic Ocean. According to the latest Tropical Outlook issued by the NHC, it is likely that a new tropical depression will form within the next 48 hours.

According to the NHC, showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 850 miles east of the Windward Islands continue to show signs of organization.  Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the western tropical Atlantic toward the Lesser Antilles.

“Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system, and watches may be required for some of the islands later today,” the National Hurricane Center warns.

Elsewhere throughout the entire Atlantic Hurricane Basin, no other tropical cyclones are expected to form over the next 7 days.

The Atlantic Hurricane Season, which began on June 1, runs through to the end of November. The last named tropical cyclone in the basin was Sean; should a new system form and be named, it will be called Tammy.

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