While the eastern Pacific basin remains active, the Atlantic hurricane basin has quieted down after Tropical Storm Don degenerated earlier this week. For the next five days, the National Hurricane Center expects no tropical cyclones to develop anywhere within the Atlantic basin.
While a few tropical waves exist across the basin, none are expected to become a cyclone over the next five days.
The first tropical wave over the eastern Atlantic extends from 17N 31W to 04N 32W, moving west at 20kt. This wave is along the leading edge of a deep pool of moisture off the coast of Africa. Satellite imagery shows an extensive area of Saharan dry air and dust northwest of the wave which will inhibit development.
The second wave, a large amplitude one, is over the central Atlantic with axis from 24N 54W to 08N 55W, moving west at 15 kt. A portion of this wave is forecast to move across the eastern Caribbean during the upcoming weekend, bringing increasing moisture and probabilities for scattered showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds. Even so, no tropical cyclone development is expected here.
The third wave is over the Eastern Caribbean with axis from 19N 64W to 08N 65W, moving west at 20 kt. According to the National Hurricane Center, this wave is capable of producing strong gusty winds as it moves west across the eastern Caribbean today, and across the central Caribbean on Saturday and Saturday night. But as with other waves in the basin, no development is expected of this wave in the coming days.
Lastly, the remnants of former Tropical Storm Don is the last wave being tracked in the basin. Located over the Western Caribbean Sea with an axis from 19N 81W through Panama to the East Pacific at 05N 82W, this wave is producing moderate to strong convection along the coast of Nicaragua. This wave is forecast to move to Central America today, with strong gusty winds and shower and thunderstorm activity likely there.
