The tropical Atlantic has quieted down, with the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida calling for no tropical cyclone development anywhere in the Atlantic Hurricane Basin for at least the next 7 days. However, those meteorologists in Miami aren’t getting much rest: their other area of focus, the eastern Pacific, has been getting busy in recent days with one system spinning about, another weakening, and another potentially forming over the next week.
The National Hurricane Center is responsible for the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific hurricane basins while the Honolulu, Hawaii-based Central Pacific Hurricane Center is responsible for storms in the Central Pacific basin including any around Hawaii. There is no activity in the Atlantic or Central Pacific Basins at this time nor is any expected over the next week.
The National Hurricane Center, however, is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Adrian, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Adrian is forecast to further weaken to a tropical depression by tomorrow morning as it heads west away from land into the open waters of the eastern Pacific.
The National Hurricane Center has also issued its last advisory on the remnants of Beatriz, located near the coast of west-central Mexico. Tropical storm conditions along the west-central coast of Mexico will continue to diminish as Beatriz moves away from the region. However, locally heavy rain is expected across southern and western Mexico from Colima north and west to Sinaloa and Durango; these rains could lead to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides in Mexico.
The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico, which they say could develop into something of concern during the latter part of next week. “Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves generally west-northwestward, roughly parallel to the coasts of southern and southwestern Mexico,” the NHC said in the most recent Tropical Outlook for the Eastern Pacific hurricane basin. If development were to occur, it’d be slow; the NHC says there’s a near-zero chance of development over the next 48 hours and only a 20% chance of formation over the next 7 days.