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Atmospheric River to Dump 5-10 Feet of Snow in California

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - January 25, 2021

Extremely heavy snow of 5-10' or more is possible over the next week in portions of California as an atmospheric river event unfolds. Image: pivotalweather.com
Extremely heavy snow of 5-10′ or more is possible over the next week in portions of California as an atmospheric river event unfolds. Image: pivotalweather.com

An “atmospheric river” phenomena is forecast to bring an incredible amount of moisture to California in the coming days; over the next week, several inches of rain are expected to fall over lower elevations while 5-10 feet of snow will fall over the mountainous terrain.




An atmospheric river refers to a narrow stream of concentrated moisture in the atmosphere. The most common atmospheric river event is nick-named “Pineapple Express”; in this type of situation, a robust stream of moisture near the Hawaiian islands flows north and east into western North America, dropping copious amounts of rain and snow as it interacts with the terrain there.

The American GFS forecast model shows a stream of moisture from north of Hawaii heading into California as part of an atmospheric river event. Image: tropicaltidbits.com
The American GFS forecast model shows a stream of moisture from north of Hawaii heading into California as part of an atmospheric river event. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

 

These long, narrow atmospheric rivers help transport moisture from the tropics, in water vapor form, to areas far from the tropics. The liquid equivalent of these moisture plumes could be comparable to the water flowing through the mouth of the Mississippi River, according to NOAA.




On average, 30-50% of annual precipitation on the U.S. West Coast occurs from a few atmospheric river events. In addition to replenishing water supplies, they can also create problems associated with heavy precipitation: flooding, rock/mud slides, and avalanche dangers.

NOAA continues to study how atmospheric rivers evolve over the western U.S.. Image: NOAA
NOAA continues to study how atmospheric rivers evolve over the western U.S.. Image: NOAA

 

As the stream of water vapor hits the mountain ranges over the U.S. west coast, the air rises, cools, and condenses the moisture out of it. This condensed moisture falls out of the sky as heavy rain, heavy snow, or both.




A significant atmospheric river event is expected to unfold in the coming days, with the worst arriving Wednesday and Thursday.  With bad weather arriving, the National Weather Service has issued hundreds of watches and advisories across California, Nevada, Oregon, Idaho, Utah, and Arizona. In addition to heavy snow and rain, freezing conditions harmful to agriculture, damaging winds,  and rough surf are also possible across large portions of California.

Numerous advisories have been issued by the National Weather Service ahead of this week's rough weather forecast. Image: weatherboy.com
Numerous advisories have been issued by the National Weather Service ahead of this week’s rough weather forecast. Image: weatherboy.com

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