The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida is monitoring a disturbance in the central Atlantic while the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii is monitoring three named storms not far from Hawaii: Hone, Gilma, and Hector. No system is an immediate threat to the United States at this time.
After a stretch of quiet activity in the Atlantic, there could be something developing over portions of the central Atlantic over the next 7 days. According to the National Hurricane Center, an area of low pressure could form in the central portion of the central Tropical Atlantic in a few days. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of this system this weekend into early next week as it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Odds to develop soon are low though; according to the National Hurricane Center, there’s a near-zero chance of development over the next 48 hours and only a 20% chance over the next 7 days. Elsewhere in the basin, there’s no other tropical disturbance of any concern.
While the Atlantic is a bit quiet, the Pacific is active with three tropical cyclones in or near the Central Pacific Hurricane Basin: Tropical Storm Hone, Hurricane Gilma, and Tropical Storm Hector.
Hurricane Gilma is forecast to weaken before it approaches Hawaii at the end of the week. On Tuesday, the system will move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center’s area of responsibility where it will be closely monitored by the Honolulu, Oahu-based meteorologists there. For now, the official National Hurricane Center track brings what’s left of the system north of the islands later Thursday or Friday, which could help bring a return of heavy rain showers to portions of the state, especially windward portions of Maui and Hawaii Islands.
Tropical Storm Hector is less of a threat than Gilma. Hector is expected to weaken to a remnant low in about 7 days well east of Hawaii. It could bring increased moisture beyond next weekend, but not as much as Gilma and far less than Hone.
Beyond Hone which is moving away from Hawaii and Gilma and Hector which are moving in the general direction of Hawaii, there are no other tropical cyclone threats anywhere near Hawaii nor are any others expected over the next 7 days.