The National Hurricane Center has issued their latest Tropical Outlook for the Atlantic, pointing out an area of concern that could be the next tropical cyclone in the basin. Long range computer forecast guidance suggests that any system that develops here would be more of an East Coast threat than a Gulf Coast threat, with the global forecast models like the American GFS and European ECMWF calling for a potent tropical cyclone to form over time.
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), a tropical wave located over the tropical Atlantic several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing widespread disorganized showers and thunderstorms. For the next few days, any development of the wave should be slow to occur as it moves west across the central tropical Atlantic. However, beyond then, the NHC says that conditions are expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form while it approaches the Lesser Antilles by early next week. The NHC adds that the system is then forecast to move generally west-northwestward and could approach the Greater Antilles by the middle part of next week.
The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season began on June 1 and continues through the end of November. Mid-September is when the season typically peaks.
