A system that the Miami, Florida – based National Hurricane Center (NHC) has been tracking in recent days, appears to be less likely to become the season’s next tropical depression in the Atlantic Hurricane Basin. In addition to that disturbance that is less threatening than originally thought, it is unlikely that any tropical cyclone will develop anywhere across the Atlantic over the next five days.
In a Tropical Outlook released yesterday afternoon by the NHC, meteorologists felt there was a medium chance that a disturbance in the Atlantic would become a tropical depression during the middle or later part of this week. They now believe those chances are low.
In today’s Tropical Outlook, the National Hurricane Center says that while some gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days, environmental conditions are forecast to become less favorable by this weekend. With conditions expected to be more hostile towards development, the NHC has lowered the chances of tropical cyclone formation to 30% over the next five days.
The disturbance in question is located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. The NHC expects the system to move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic during the next several days. Because it is in the open waters of the Atlantic, it doesn’t pose any threat to any land.
The 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season runs through to the end of November.