While Hurricane Felicia and Tropical Storm Guillermo inch closer to Hawaii in the Pacific, the tropical Atlantic is quiet. According to the latest tropical outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center, no tropical cyclone formation is expected at all throughout the Atlantic hurricane basin for the next 5 days. The Atlantic hurricane basin includes the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico.
The eastern Pacific hasn’t been as quiet in recent days; Hurricane Felicia became a Major Hurricane over the weekend while Tropical Storm Guillermo formed. Fortunately, both systems are getting weaker as they march west over the open waters of the Pacific ocean, inching their way closer to Hawaii.
At this time, it appears neither Felicia or Guillermo will make a direct impact to Hawaii. The National Hurricane Center forecasts and global computer forecast guidance weaken the systems before they arrive to Hawaii while blunting most of their energy south of the islands. However, it is possible moisture associated with these systems, especially Guillermo, may make their way into portions of Hawaii, introducing the chance of heavy rain and flood potential with time even as the storms fall apart and move south of the state. Any such impacts are more than 5 days away from happening, giving people in Hawaii ample time to prepare for that threat.
Beyond Felicia and Guillermo, the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, responsible for the Atlantic and East Pacific hurricane basins, and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, responsible for the Central Pacific hurricane basin, expect no new tropical cyclones to form in any of their basins over the next 5 days.