While the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific hurricane basins had an early start this year, and just days ago the earliest “F” storm to form made landfall on the Jersey Shore on the U.S. East Coast, the tropics around the United States …and around the globe are remarkably quiet now.
Over the last month, the Northern Hemisphere hurricane and typhoon season has
been remarkably quiet. During the last 30 days, the Northern Hemisphere has generated only 8 Accumulated Cyclone Energy, also known as ACE. Used by meteorological agencies like NOAA in the United States, ACE is a measurement that expresses the activity of individual tropical cyclones and entire tropical cyclone seasons; it uses an approximation of the wind energy used by a tropical system over its lifetime and is calculated every six hours. Since the satellite era in 1966, the only mid-June to mid-July period with less ACE in the Northern Hemisphere was 1977.
Yesterday, there was not a single hurricane, typhoon, or tropical storm anywhere on the planet.
And while things are quiet today, they aren’t forecast to perk up much in the coming days. According to the latest Tropical Outlook from the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, no tropical cyclone formation is forecast to occur in the Atlantic basin for at least the next 5 days. While the same is true for the Central Pacific basin, there’s a weak disturbance being tracked in the eastern Pacific this afternoon. However, that disturbance only has a 30% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days.