The tropics are relatively quiet; according to the National Hurricane Center, the Central Pacific and Atlantic Hurricane Basins are quiet with no activity expected this week , while the Eastern Pacific only has a slight chance of seeing tropical cyclone formation in the coming days.
According to the National Hurricane Center, shower activity associated with a tropical wave located well to the south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has become a little more concentrated since yesterday. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system over the next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central and western portions of the basin. The disturbance could move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Basin over time, but for now, it won’t be near any landmass.
Odds of the system forming in the Eastern Pacific remain low, however. The National Hurricane Center says in their latest Tropical Outlook that there’s a near-zero percent chance of formation over the next 48 hours; those odds only grow to 30% over the next 7 days.
Meanwhile the Atlantic basin is very quiet in the wake of Hurricane Beryl, which was a category 5 hurricane just weeks ago in the basin. Scientists say dust from the Sahara Dessert is inhibiting tropical cyclone development there for now.
