While the Atlantic Hurricane Season and the Central Pacific Hurricane Season kicks-off on June 1, today, May 15, marks the first day of the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Center. And the first day of the 2024 season has the tropical meteorology experts with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) tracking a disturbance in the basin. All three basins will conclude their hurricane season on November 30, 2024.

According to the NHC, an area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles to the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec within the next couple of days. They add that gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves slowly to the west-northwest or northwest, remaining south of the coast of Mexico through early next week. While there is a near-zero chance of a cyclone forming over the next 48 hours, the NHC says there’s a medium chance, 40%, that one will form over the next 7 days.

Elsewhere in this basin and the other two that the National Hurricane Center and Central Pacific Hurricane Center monitor, there are no signs of any other potential tropical cyclone development.