While the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season officially starts on June 1, things may be starting a bit early this year. The National Hurricane Center has been tracking an area of disturbed weather well off the southeast United States coastline. Now they believe there’s increasing odds that a tropical cyclone will form here.
According to a special update released by the National Hurricane Center overnight, an area of low pressure is expected to form within a region of disturbed weather located several hundred miles southwest of Bermuda during the next couple of days. This system could gradually develop into a tropical or subtropical cyclone while it moves northward or northeastward through Tuesday. The National Hurricane Center days environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by the middle of the week, which will inhibit further growth and intensification.
Even if the system doesn’t grow further, windy, rainy conditions are likely to impact Bermuda in the coming days. With the current weather pattern over the continental United States, it is unlikely that this system, even if it does intensify into a tropical cyclone, will have direct impacts to the U.S. East Coast.
Based on the last update from the National Hurricane Center, there’s only a 10% chance that a tropical cyclone will form over the next 48 hours here; those odds increase to 40% over the next five days.
