Hurricane Lane continues to chug across the eastern Pacific Ocean and is forecast to enter the Central Pacific Hurricane Basin as a Major Hurricane tomorrow. By the middle of next week, Lane is forecast to pass well south of Hawaii’s Big Island. Even so, heavy rains associated with the hurricane and a moisture plume that surrounds it could soak Hawaii with flood-inducing rains. While it’s too soon to say with certainty what impacts, if any, Lane could have on the Aloha State, the potential exists for 5″ or more of rain, especially on the Big Island, next week. People there should keep an eye on changing weather conditions, have a Hurricane Action Plan, and think-out what they’d do if life threatening floods impacted their region.
While Lane is getting closer to the U.S. with time, Ernesto is getting farther away. Tropical Storm Ernesto is forecast to transition to an extratropical system tonight as it moves away into the north Atlantic. No direct impacts to land are expected while Ernesto is a tropical system.
A tropical wave located about 400 miles east southeast of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, and significant development of this system is not anticipated. This disturbance is moving westward at about 15 mph and is forecast to move through the Windward Islands on Saturday, where it could bring locally heavy rainfall there according to the National Hurricane Center.
Elsewhere, there are no tropical cyclone threats to the US.