While the weekend kicked off with fresh Tropical Storm Watches, odds are now fading that a new tropical cyclone will develop in the Atlantic in the coming days. And perhaps for the balance of the season, which runs through to November 30.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) had initiated advisories on a disturbance known as Potential Tropical Cyclone #22 in the Caribbean but yesterday stopped. The advisories prompted authorities to issue Tropical Storm Watches for some islands when they were issued, but with the advisories no longer being issued, those watches are no longer in effect.
The disturbance has almost faded away and the NHC gives low odds that the system will actually develop into a tropical cyclone. According to the latest Tropical Outlook from the NHC, “A small area of low pressure located over the central Caribbean Sea is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Dry air in the surrounding environment is likely to prevent significant development of this system while it drifts slowly westward during the next few days.”
Right now, the NHC says there’s only a 10% chance that this disturbance will actually develop.
Beyond this disturbance, there are no other areas of concern in the Tropical Atlantic. The NHC expects no other systems to develop over the next 7 days. With just 11 days left of Atlantic Hurricane Season, there may not be any more tropical cyclones in the Atlantic for the balance of the season.