The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida have increased the odds in their Tropical Outlook that a tropical cyclone could form in the Central Atlantic over the upcoming week. September 10 was the traditional peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season which runs from June 1 to November 30; it’s been remarkably quiet throughout all of the tropics with no tropical cyclones anywhere near the United States.

A tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over the far eastern Atlantic. According to the National Hurricane Center, dry and stable air will likely limit this system’s development over the next few days, but a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter part of next week while moving west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.

The National Hurricane Center has boosted odds of tropical cyclone formation of this system to a “medium” 60% chance over the next 7 days. They say odds are still low, near zero percent, of any formation over the next 48 hours.

This is the only potential disturbance they are tracking in the Atlantic Hurricane Basin. There are no other tropical cyclones nor are any expected to develop beyond this possible one over the next 7 days.