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Subtropical Storm Could Form in Coming Days

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - December 5, 2022

The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on the orange shaded area for potential cyclone development. Image: NHC
The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on the orange shaded area for potential cyclone development. Image: NHC





While the calendar shows it is December and that the Atlantic Hurricane Season has wrapped up for the year, meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida are busy tracking yet another potential cyclone in the Atlantic. According to a Special Tropical Outlook Update issued today, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) says it is possible a subtropical storm could form in the coming days.

According to the NHC, a large area of low pressure located over the central subtropical Atlantic about 750 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some subtropical characteristics while it drifts northeastward during the next few days.

While a subtropical storm could form, conditions will become hostile towards the end of the week for any development. By Thursday night or Friday, the low is expected to move over cooler waters, ending its chances of becoming a subtropical storm.

For now, the NHC says there’s a low chance of subtropical cyclone formation over the next 48 hours but a medium chance over the next five days, pegging those odds at 40%.

Elsewhere as expected the Atlantic is quiet and no tropical or subtropical storms are expected.

The 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season ended on November 30 but storms do form from time to time in the off-season. The National Hurricane Center is manned year round and will track and warn against any system regardless of when it forms. The 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season won’t start until June 1.

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