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Tropical Trouble Brewing By Florida?

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - June 11, 2024

Current GOES-East weather satellite shows an area circled in yellow being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for possible tropical cyclone development. Image: NOAA
Current GOES-East weather satellite shows an area circled in yellow being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for possible tropical cyclone development. Image: NOAA

Meteorologists with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are monitoring an area of disturbed weather located near Florida, debating whether or not some tropical trouble is brewing there. For now, the NHC is simply monitoring it for possible development over the next several days as it drifts from southwest Florida north and east to the Atlantic Coast off the U.S. Southeast.

According to the NHC, a broad and elongated area of low pressure near the west-central coast of Florida is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move northeastward across Florida tonight and move offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast by late Wednesday. Although upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive, the NHC says some slow development is possible while the system moves offshore of the U.S. Southeast coast.

Area of concern. Image: NHC
Area of concern. Image: NHC

“Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected to continue across portions of the Florida peninsula during the next few days,” cautions the NHC in their latest Tropical Outlook.

Right now, the NHC says odds of development are low, with there only being a 10% chance of formation through the next 48 hours and only 20% over the next seven days. Nevertheless, the NHC will continue to monitor it for any signs of development.

This is the only area of concern throughout the Atlantic hurricane basin by the NHC; they say there are no other areas of potential tropical cyclone formation or concern basin-wide over the next week.

The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season began on June 1 and will run through to the end of November.

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