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No Tropical Cyclone Formation Expected, Even with Season Peak Here

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - September 11, 2022

The National Hurricane Center says odds are slim to none that a tropical cyclone will form in the Atlantic hurricane basin this week --even though this week is the traditional peak of the season.  Image: NHC
The National Hurricane Center says odds are slim to none that a tropical cyclone will form in the Atlantic hurricane basin this week –even though this week is the traditional peak of the season. Image: NHC

While the calendar says the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane Season is here, the basin is extraordinarily quiet, with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) saying no tropical cyclone formation is expected anytime soon.

In a Tropical Outlook issued by the NHC this evening, meteorologists at the Miami, Florida-based institution say there is only one system that has caught their eye over the entire Atlantic and it only has a tiny chance of developing into a threat over the upcoming week.

According to the NHC, a tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa later tonight into tomorrow. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable, and any development of this wave should be slow to occur while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean through the end of the week. At this time, the NHC says there’s a near-zero chance of tropical cyclone formation here over the next 48 hours. Those chances only grow to a low 20% over the next 5 days.

Elsewhere, throughout the entire basin, there is no threat of tropical cyclone development for the next week.

The Atlantic Hurricane Season runs through to the end of November.

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