While the Atlantic hurricane basin is relatively quiet, especially with Tropical Depression #3 degenerating off the Florida east coast yesterday, eyes are returning to the Gulf of Mexico for potential tropical cyclone development.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), disorganized clouds and showers located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a frontal boundary.  There, a non-tropical low is expected to form  by the NHC along this boundary tonight or tomorrow, and environmental conditions could support some subtropical or tropical development late this week while the disturbance meanders near the northwestern Gulf Coast.




While there is a chance for tropical cyclone development, the chances are low. In today’s Tropical Outlook, the NHC says there’s only a 20% chance of tropical cyclone formation at anytime over the next 5 days here.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic basin, no tropical cyclone development is expected over the next 5 days.