The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring two potential areas of trouble in the tropical Atlantic today. While no threat exists yet, there are two areas being observed, as described in the NHC’s latest Tropical Outlook update today.
The first area of concern is located in the southwestern Atlantic. A trough of low pressure stretching from the eastern Caribbean northward to the southwestern Atlantic continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. According to the NHC, environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual subtropical development of this system, and a subtropical depression could form while it drifts northward during the next couple of days. The system is then forecast to meander over the subtropical western Atlantic to the west or southwest of Bermuda. Right now, the NHC says there’s a 40% chance of cyclone development over the next 48 hours but those odds grow to 50% over the next five days.
The next area of concern is over the eastern Caribbean. According to the NHC, an area of low pressure is expected to form over the eastern Caribbean Sea this weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the disturbance moves generally westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea. The NHC says there’s a 40% chance that a tropical cyclone will form here over the next 5 days.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic Hurricane Basin, no other tropical cyclones are expected to form over the next 5 days.
The 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season runs through to the end of November.