
For yet another year in a row, the National Hurricane Center expects no tropical storms or hurricanes to form anywhere in the Atlantic basin before the start of the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season on June 1. Today’s Tropical Outlook released by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) shows there are no threats anywhere in the basin nor are any expected for at least the next 7 days into the official start of the season.
Like last year and the year before, no storms formed in May or earlier in the Atlantic basin. In 2025, the first system developed on June 23 as Tropical Storm Andrea. In 2024, it wasn’t until June 24 that the first system of the season developed: Tropical Storm Alberto. In 2023, there was an unnamed subtropical storm in the Atlantic in January; on June 1, the first named storm formed, Tropical Storm Arlene.
The Atlantic Hurricane Season runs from June 1 through to November 30; the same is true of the Central Pacific Hurricane Basin of which Hawaii fits in.
The NHC published a brief statement today confirming the quiet period leading into the start of the season: “For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.”
Experts believe the upcoming season may be less active than usual. Last week, NOAA released a forecast showing 55% odds of a below-normal season. In April, experts with CSU released their own outlook which also calls for a less active season.