With just a month left of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season left, it looks like the basin will continue to pump out new systems with a new tropical cyclone likely to form soon. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), there is now an 70% chance that a new tropical cyclone will form north of Puerto Rico soon.
According to the latest Tropical Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center, showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the southeastern Bahamas continue to show signs of organization. “A short-lived tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves west-northwestward,” the NHC warns. However, by Tuesday, strong upper-level winds, dry air, and cooler sea surface temperatures should end the chances of further development.
Nevertheless, an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today. Should this system become strong enough to warrant a tropical storm name, it would be called Vince.