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ECMWF

National Hurricane Center & Computer Models Hint at Tropical Cyclone Forming in Gulf of America

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - July 13, 2025

The ICON is one of a few different computer forecast model suggesting a tropical cyclone will take shape in the Guld of America later this week. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Significant I-95 Snowstorm Possible Next Week

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - February 6, 2025

This simulated view from the American GFS computer forecast model shows a significant snowstorm impacting the Mid Atlantic later next Tuesday into Wednesday. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

American GFS Forecast Model Dreaming of a U.S. East Coast White Christmas

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - December 12, 2024

Today's afternoon run of the American GFS forecast model suggests a significant east coast snowstorm on December 23, dropping enough snow that would give a large portion of the I-95 corridor a White Christmas. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

What’s up with the Thanksgiving Blizzard?

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - November 24, 2024

Random graphics like this model output from an older run show a dramatic blizzard unfolding along the east coast; but for snow lovers that fantasize such a scenario for Thanksgiving, meteorologists and the computer models they use agree it's nothing more than fantasy for now. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Model Projection of Valentine’s Day Snowstorm Unlikely to Come to Fruition

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - February 5, 2024

The American GFS forecast model has been showing on some runs this notion of a Mid Atlantic snowstorm around Valentine's Day. However, because the GFS is flip-flopping on such a stormy solution and other models show completely different scenarios, it's unlikely to come to fruition. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Forecast Models Call For Another Potent Nor’Easter

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - December 25, 2023

Output from the American GFS computer forecast model suggests another potent nor'easter will impact the U.S. East Coast around January 7-11 with this particular panel reflecting conditions for the morning of the 9th. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

No Clear Consensus on Hurricane Lee’s Future; East Coast Impacts Remain a Possibility

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - September 9, 2023

The latest deterministic run of the European ECMWF forecast model shows Hurricane Lee coming up the Jersey Shore with the eye of the storm about to make landfall on Long Island by next weekend. It is too early to know whether or not this model is accurately depicting the future track of the storm. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Models Suggest Possibility of Weekend Nor’Easter, But It Looks More Wet than White

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - February 9, 2023

The latest American GFS model suggests a coastal storm will form later in the upcoming weekend. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Global Computer Forecast Models Keep Snow Out of I-95 Corridor through At Least Mid-February

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - February 3, 2023

Forecast runs, like this latest American GFS model output, do show some snow (blue) in the northeast, but the I-95 corridor stays in the rainy (green) side of the storm. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Models Agree Snow is Coming to Mid Atlantic & Northeast, But Completely Disagree How and When

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - January 19, 2023

Forecast computer models suggest a snowstorm in the northeast. The left is the European ECMWF forecast model showing a storm on January 25; the American GFS is showing a similar storm on February 2. Image: PivotalWeather.com / TropicalTidbits.com

[…]

Models Adjusting to New Weather Pattern; Suggest Nor’Easter Snow Event Next Week

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - January 17, 2023

The latest European ECMWF forecast model suggests a nor'easter may form around January 23; if this model solution comes to fruition, it could produce significant snows in an area that hasn't seen much yet this winter. Image: Pivotal Weather

[…]

Other than Winter Storm Brush-By, No Snow on Horizon in East

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - January 15, 2023

The NAM forecast model depiction for Monday continues to show some light snow impacting far southeastern New England. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Models Suggest East Coast Storm Next Week, but Looks More Wet than White

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - January 6, 2023

The American GFS computer forecast model is suggesting a potent area of low pressure will form on the East Coast later next week. However, it looks like it'll be too mild to support much in the way of snow. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Christmas Eve Blizzard Continues to be Projected by Forecast Models

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - December 16, 2022

A blockbuster could be in the cards for Christmas Eve if this solution, projected by the American GFS Forecast Model, is accurate. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Computer Forecast Models are Dreaming of a White Christmas Too

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - December 15, 2022

This afternoon's model run of the American GFS computer forecast model continues to show an east coast snowstorm taking shape for Christmas Eve. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Atlantic Perks Up; Models Hint at U.S. Landfalls; NHC Updates Outlook

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - August 24, 2022

The American GFS Computer forecast model suggests that there could be a tropical storm or hurricane near Florida, the U.S. East Coast, or the Gulf Coast around Labor Day or its holiday weekend. However, almost every run, created every 12 hours, is very different from the last. With such flip-flopping, it is unlikely any model output is correct. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

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