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NOAA Boosts Supercomputer Power for More Accurate Forecasts

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - August 11, 2023

Twin supercomputers, one of which is pictured here, just received a 20% upgrade. Located in Manassas, Virginia, and Phoenix, Arizona, respectively, each supercomputer now operates at a speed of 14.5 petaflops. Image: General Dynamics Information Technology

[…]

NOAA Upgrades Storm Surge Model Ahead of 2023 Hurricane Season

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - May 2, 2023

The new storm surge forecast model upgrade from NOAA will allow for detailed surge forecasts and maps prior to landfall from a tropical storm or hurricane. This map is an illustration of a hypothetical "Hurricane X" on the New York City / Jersey City / Staten Island area. Image: NHC

[…]

Models Agree Snow is Coming to Mid Atlantic & Northeast, But Completely Disagree How and When

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - January 19, 2023

Forecast computer models suggest a snowstorm in the northeast. The left is the European ECMWF forecast model showing a storm on January 25; the American GFS is showing a similar storm on February 2. Image: PivotalWeather.com / TropicalTidbits.com

[…]

Models Suggest East Coast Storm Next Week, but Looks More Wet than White

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - January 6, 2023

The American GFS computer forecast model is suggesting a potent area of low pressure will form on the East Coast later next week. However, it looks like it'll be too mild to support much in the way of snow. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Atlantic Perks Up; Models Hint at U.S. Landfalls; NHC Updates Outlook

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - August 24, 2022

The American GFS Computer forecast model suggests that there could be a tropical storm or hurricane near Florida, the U.S. East Coast, or the Gulf Coast around Labor Day or its holiday weekend. However, almost every run, created every 12 hours, is very different from the last. With such flip-flopping, it is unlikely any model output is correct. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Nor’Easter Potential Fizzles-Out, Leaving Behind a Very Dry Northeast

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - August 15, 2022

Instead of a nor'easter with welcome rains, the northeast will remain very dry, as this computer model forecast projects through to Saturday morning. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Hurricane Darby Unexpectedly Intensifies Today; Storm Moisture Headed to Hawaii

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - July 13, 2022

Current weather satellite view of the Hawaii Islands, left, and Hurricane Darby, right. Image: NOAA

[…]

NOAA Flips the Switch On New Supercomputers for Weather and Climate Models

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - June 28, 2022

Twin supercomputers Dogwood and Cactus , pictured here, are the newest additions to NOAA's weather and climate operational supercomputing system. Image: GDIT

[…]

Weekend Snowstorm Looking Likely in East; Will it be the March Blizzard of 2022?

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - March 8, 2022

Latest American GFS shows a winter storm on the surface map in the Eastern U.S. this coming weekend. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

Forecast Models Suggest Major Storm; Is the Blizzard of ’22 on the Way?

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - January 11, 2022

Overnight model runs, such as this view of the American GFS computer forecast model, suggest the eastern U.S. could be hit by a sizable winter storm by Monday morning. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

National Weather Service Improves Solar Storm Forecast Model as CME Impacts Earth

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - July 23, 2021

A coronal mass ejection, which created a solar tsunami when it ejected, is impacting the Earth now. Image:

[…]

Models Flip-Flop on Weekend Snowstorm as New Data Arrives

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - February 4, 2021

The early evening run of the NAM model shows a swath of accumulating snow from the southern Appalachians north into the Mid Atlantic and Northeast. It is too soon to tell whether or not it will be correct. Image: tropicaltidbits.com

[…]

European Forecast Model Calls for Sunday-Wednesday Snowstorm in the East

by Weatherboy Team Meteorologist - January 26, 2021

[…]

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